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A LATE-OCTOBER LOOK AT THE BOWL PROJECTIONS
October 30, 2007

SCS.comFor the first time in quite a while, the upper echelon of the college football world held steady for a weekend. There were no changes amongst the top seven teams in the BCS standings after this weekend's games. With that said, it’s time for the second round of bowl projections by SCS.com. Things are getting very crowded in certain conferences, and that could have an impact on who gets in and who doesn’t.

The race in the SEC is very tight right now. In the East, the top four teams are all within a game of one another, and in the West, the top three teams are divided by half a game. With everyone beating up on each other, this does hurt the SEC’s chances of placing a team in the national championship game (although I still think LSU will be there). It also, however, means that a lot of the conference’s teams will be appearing in bowls this year. While many experts are placing nine SEC teams into bowl games, don’t be surprised if ten get in. Arkansas and Mississippi State could both be playing in late December if they perform well down the stretch. Georgia may be the real surprise right now, as we currently place them in the Sugar Bowl. The Bulldogs got a huge win against Florida this weekend, and should win out the regular season before falling in the SEC title game. That run down the stretch should give them a BCS appearance.

The ACC is another crowded conference. Right now I have nine teams projected to make bowl games, but a lot is going to need to go right in order for that to happen. In all likelihood, eight teams is a more likely number to expect out of the ACC. Maryland is the team that has the best chance to be on the outside looking in. The Terps, at 4-4 right now, would be bowl eligible if they split their final four games, but with so many other teams that are going to be bowl eligible, Maryland will probably have to come up with seven wins to get in somewhere.

One team you might be surprised to not see in a bowl game right now? Oklahoma State. The Cowboys look OK at the moment at 5-3 overall and 3-1 in Big 12 play. However, three of OSU’s final four games are against teams ranked in the top fifteen (Texas, Kansas, and Oklahoma). If all goes as I expect, the ‘Boys will finish at 6-6 overall, 4-4 in the conference, and with all the good teams in the Big 12 this year, that just won’t be enough to get them in.

The Big 10 will place seven teams in bowl games, with Indiana being the last. The Hoosiers will likely win two of their last three games, giving them seven wins on the year. The Pac-10 and Big East, meanwhile, will each get six teams in. The Pac-10, along with the SEC, will place two teams in BCS bowl games.

DATE BOWL MATCHUP
Dec. 20 Poinsettia New Mexico vs Navy
Dec. 21 New Orleans Troy vs UCF
Dec. 22 Papajohns.com Louisville vs Houston
Dec. 22 New Mexico Nevada vs Utah
Dec. 22 Las Vegas BYU vs Oregon State
Dec. 23 Hawaii Fresno State vs Southern Miss
Dec. 26 Motor City Indiana vs Central Michigan
Dec. 27 Holiday Texas vs USC
Dec. 28 Champs Sports Wake Forest vs Wisconsin
Dec. 28 Texas Texas Tech vs Tulsa
Dec. 28 Emerald Miami vs UCLA
Dec. 29 Meineke Car Care Virginia vs Connecticut
Dec. 29 Liberty East Carolina vs Mississippi State
Dec. 29 Alamo Illinois vs Kansas State
Dec. 30 Independence Texas A&M vs Arkansas
Dec. 31 Armed Forces Air Force vs Kentucky
Dec. 31 Sun Cal vs Rutgers
Dec. 31 Humanitarian Florida State vs Boise State
Dec. 31 Music City Georgia Tech vs Tennessee
Dec. 31 Chick-Fil-A Virginia Tech vs South Carolina
Dec. 31 Insight Purdue vs Colorado
Jan. 1 Outback Penn State vs Florida
Jan. 1 Cotton Kansas vs Alabama
Jan. 1 Gator Clemson vs South Florida
Jan. 1 Capital One Michigan vs Auburn
Jan. 1 Rose Oregon vs West Virginia
Jan. 1 Sugar Georgia vs Hawaii
Jan. 1 Fiesta Oklahoma vs Arizona State
Jan. 1 Orange Boston College vs Missouri
Jan. 6 International Cincinnati vs Ball State
Jan. 6 GMAC Central Florida vs Miami (OH)
Jan. 7 BCS Title Game Ohio State vs LSU

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