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Can you believe it? The first month of college basketball has concluded. Feast Week was a success, as pre-season tournaments swept the nation during Thanksgiving. Now, all of the exotic island trips are over, and it’s time for the meat of the non-conference schedule to begin. OPENING THOUGHTS Thought 1: Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas Most people have fun when they head to Vegas. Unless, of course, you’re on the Illinois basketball team. Sin City treated the 20th-ranked Illini disastrously this weekend. On Friday, Illinois blew a 16 point-lead against Utah to fall 60-58 at the buzzer. The Utes were a five-seed in the NCAA tournament last year but graduated their top three scorers and lost to Seattle earlier in the week. Roughly 24 hours later, Bradley knocked off Illinois 72-68. So much for a national ranking. It appears that the young Illini guards are having trouble transitioning to the collegiate level. Freshman D.J. Richardson shot just 3-14 this weekend in 48 minutes of action, and nobody on the Illini can help veterans Demetri McCamey, Mike Tisdale and Mike Davis shoulder the load offensively. Even Davis scored just two points against Utah, while former Kentucky guard Alex Legion was a non-factor in both games. With games against Clemson, Vanderbilt and Missouri looming in the non-conference, Illinois better figure out how to score. If not, Bruce Weber’s promising squad will have a lot of work to do during Big Ten play just to make the field of 65.
Thought 2: Staying with Vegas… Las Vegas’ hometown team, UNLV, is off to quite a start. Portland’s run in the Anaheim Classic is the talk of the West, but don’t overlook the Runnin’ Rebels’ impressive 5-0 start. Lon Kruger followed up two straight NCAA tournament berths with a disappointing trip to the NIT last year, and UNLV entered this season without the services of leading scorer Wink Adams and do-it-all glue man Rene Rougeau. The absence of those two graduated seniors haven’t stopped the Rebels from knocking off Nevada, Southern Illinois and, of course, 17th-ranked Louisville. Kruger’s cast of transfers, including Tre’Von Willis from Memphis, Chance Stanback from UCLA and Derrick Jasper from Kentucky, has helped form a scary core group of experienced veterans. UNLV isn’t necessarily considered a favorite to win the Mountain West by many prognosticators, but it’s great news that all the new faces for the Rebels are gelling so early in the season.
Thought 3: Colorado basketball: encouraged by two losses It’s hard to believe that I’m about to praise a team that left the Maui Invitational with a 1-2 record last week. Still, I came away impressed by Colorado’s performance on the islands, a program with 28 wins in the past three seasons combined. Head coach Jeff Bzdelik didn’t even coach, as he returned home to tend to an ailing family member. Instead, assistant coach Steve McClain, a dead-ringer for Dennis Hopper’s character “Shooter” from Hoosiers, led the Buffaloes to two strong performances against Gonzaga and Arizona. On Monday, Colorado did its best impression of John Beilein’s old West Virginia teams by raining threes on the Zags, building a 36-21 lead during the first half. The Bulldogs woke up in time to edge CU by four points, as they would eventually take home the Maui title. The next day, Colorado took Arizona to overtime, backed by Cory Higgins’ 28 points in a losing effort. I know the Buffs won’t accept any moral victories, but this team looked night-and-day different than the past few years. Bzdelik’s absence had nothing to do with Colorado’s strong play. Instead, the surprising performance has everything to do with the star-power of Higgins and the emergence of young guards such as Nate Tomlinson and Alec Burks. Tomlinson was especially spectacular in both games, dishing out eight assists against Gonzaga before scoring 20 points against Arizona. The Buffaloes looked like a machine at times during Monday and Tuesday’s games, and it’s because this team is finally grasping Bzdelik’s unique approach to basketball. This team still relies on a ton of youth, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Colorado crack the top eight of the Big 12.
WEEKLY PREVIEW GAME OF THE WEEK Michigan State at North Carolina I’m getting sick of Michigan State and North Carolina playing each other. Last year, the two teams met twice. In December, UNC embarrassed the Spartans. In April, it happened again as the Tar Heels put America to sleep with an easy victory in the National Championship. Things change, of course, and this off-season 80 percent of Roy Williams’ starting lineup left for the NBA while Michigan State still returned the bulk of its roster, excluding Travis Walton and Goran Suton. North Carolina’s new team already looks mortal, as the Tar Heels played putrid offensively in a 16-point loss to Syracuse in the Coaches vs. Cancer Classic. Meanwhile, Michigan State turned the ball over a baffling 24 times in a loss to Florida last week. As hard as it is for me to pick against UNC at the Dean Dome, I don’t anticipate the Spartans will commit 24 turnovers again. The loss to Florida was an anomaly. I can’t say the same for North Carolina’s loss at Madison Square Garden.
Prediction: Michigan State 76, North Carolina 74 GAMES TO KEEP AN EYE ON Wake Forest at Purdue So Wake Forest lost to William and Mary last week. Big deal. I’ll give the Demon Deacons a pass for having to play against two teams at once.
Prediction: Purdue 70, Wake Forest 66 Siena at Georgia Tech Having already lost at Temple and St. John’s, Siena probably has the most important game this week with regards to NCAA tournament at-large chances. The Saints do not play another major conference team after Georgia Tech, though they will travel to Northern Iowa later this month.
Prediction: Siena 77, Georgia Tech 73 Western Kentucky at South Carolina I’m a sucker for storylines. Here’s a cute one featuring Darrin Horn facing his former team.
Prediction: South Carolina 80, Western Kentucky 73 Illinois at Clemson Like I mentioned above, Illinois is struggling. A win at Clemson might make up for the Las Vegas debacle.
Prediction: Clemson 83, Illinois 71 Rhode Island at VCU URI’s 85-75 win over Davidson on Saturday was its slimmest margin of victory this season. VCU will provide a stiffer test.
Prediction: Rhode Island 72, VCU 68 Northern Iowa at Iowa State It’s the battle for supremacy in the state of Iowa. Northern Iowa would be my pick at a neutral site, but Iowa State’s Hilton Magic will carry it to an in-state win.
Prediction: Iowa State 66, Northern Iowa 65 Oklahoma State at Tulsa I give all the credit in the world to Oklahoma State for scheduling a road game at Tulsa. This is exactly the type of game almost every major program in America avoids at all costs.
Prediction: Oklahoma State 77, Tulsa 76 Cal at New Mexico Perhaps a trip East to New Mexico will help the fading California Bears rebound from a horrific performance in New York City a few weeks ago. The Lobos’ 6-0 start and the unrivaled fierceness of The Pit doesn’t help the Bears chances.
Prediction: New Mexico 70, California 68 Missouri at Vanderbilt The Tigers simply couldn’t score in a loss to Richmond at South Padre Island on Saturday. They’ll defend Vandy as usual, but can they put the ball in the basket this time in the Commodores’ intimidating and oddly-arranged arena?
Prediction: Vanderbilt 67, Missouri 62 Florida State at Ohio State Forget about Toney Douglas. Derwin Kitchen is doing just fine at point guard, and Florida State’s size is still overpowering.
Prediction: Ohio State 69, Florida State 66 Washington at Texas Tech Hey, Texas Tech is 7-0. The Red Raiders banner win came against the reeling Oregon State, but I repeat, Texas Tech is 7-0. The real season starts Thursday with Washington marching to Lubbock.
Prediction: Washington 78, Texas Tech 63 North Carolina at Kentucky This contest could have also been the “Game of the Week.” With all of the pro talent on the floor, it may look like an NBA summer-league game at times.
Prediction: Kentucky 85, North Carolina 81 Wake Forest at Gonzaga Gonzaga won the Maui Invitational by knocking off Cincinnati in overtime, partly due to the officials’ refusal to call a foul on the final play of the regulation. But enough of my sour grapes. Gonzaga still proved that 2009-2010 won’t be any type of rebuilding year.
Prediction: Gonzaga 78, Wake Forest 72 Iowa State at California Late night basketball! A win in Berkeley could be a program-changer for the Cyclones.
Prediction: California 75, Iowa State 65 South Carolina at Clemson Clemson will be looking for blood after the ‘Ol Ball Coach at USC put a whooping on the Tigers’ football squad this weekend.
Prediction: Clemson 82, South Carolina 75 St. Joseph’s at Cornell Cornell needs all the quality wins it can get in the non-conference. The Big Red have the look of a dangerous NCAA tournament team after losing in the first round the past two seasons.
Prediction: Cornell 67, St. Joseph’s 55 Villanova at Maryland Greivis Vazquez is a frustrating character off the court, that’s for sure. But his battle with Scottie Reynolds on the court Sunday may be epic.
Prediction: Villanova 73, Maryland 68 Last week’s prediction record: 4-2 Remember, I encourage reader emails. In fact, I’m so desperate for someone to talk to me that I’ve actually mentioned in my bio (located in “The Work Force” section) that I will respond to every message I receive. Try me. Just press Contact Daniel in the upper right corner. It’s easy. And please, bring the heat!
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