Once again, the NCAA Committee comes through. Bases loaded, one out, tying run on third base. Ground ball to short, to second for one, on to first. 6-4-3 double play, and it’s over. They blew it again. Just once, I wish they’d let me be on the committee and decide who gets in and who goes where. Some of the decisions they make just make no sense.
It all began when they announced about a month ago that they would be sending teams to regional sites according to close location. Their definition of a “close” location was less than 400 miles, or driving distance vs. flying distance. Last season (according to ESPN), there were 22 of the 64 teams who had to fly. This year that number was 11. All this was set up due to last September’s terrorist attacks which have put the fear of flying in almost everyone. If you remember back last year, Americans everywhere vowed not to let Bin Laden take over and control their lives. Yet, now almost nine months later, it seems the NCAA is letting him do just that. First we had the “pod” system in basketball and now this. And the idea of putting teams from the same conference in the same four-team regional is totally crazy. Most of these teams have already played at least three times in the regular season, plus any other meetings such as in conference tournaments.
Obviously, there will always be arguments about who should have gotten in and who
should not have gotten in. It wouldn’t be as much fun if it weren’t like that. Yet there is
an outrageous number of arguments that could be made this year. Here’s a brief glance at
several of those.....
South
Florida is in the tournament as a 3-seed in the Florida State regional. The Bulls were
C-USA’s fifth team, yet they finished the regular season in seventh place in their
conference. A decent RPI of 37 probably let them in, but they were just two games over
.500 at 16-14 in their conference games. And C-USA isn’t all that great of a conference.
Oh yeah, they had a 33-27 record against D-I opponents, just six games over .500 for the
entire season.
BYU
got in thanks to a conference tournament championship in the Mountain West. Check out
their very impressive stats: RPI of 132, record of 29-29 against D-I opponents,
and were one game over .500 in the Mountain West, a weak baseball conference, at
15-14.
The
Stanford region could make up three of the eight teams in the CWS in a good system.
Stanford, the host and number one seed, has an RPI of 12, record of 40-16, and finished
13-8 in the PAC 10. The two seed, Long Beach State, has an RPI of 21, a record of
37-19 overall. Both LBSU and fourth seed Cal State-Fullerton finished 14-7 in the Big
West (tied for second). CSF had an RPI of 24 and a record of 35-20. Oh yeah, and they
went to the CWS last season, as did Stanford. And they’re a four seed? Oh yeah,
a not-to-shabby San Jose State team is also here. The Spartans have a RPI of 51, and a
41-15 overall record to go along with a 18-9 record in WAC play.
How
the heck does Washington get into the tournament? They have an RPI of 79 and are just
six games over .500 overall at 30-24. They did, however, play well in the PAC 10,
finishing with a 13-8 record which was good for a tie for second place. Yet, how can they
overcome an atrocious RPI without a great, great record? Doesn’t make sense to
me.
Congrats to Central Connecticut State (sarcasm) for making the
tournament for the first time ever. A RPI of 194 and a third place finish in the Northeast
Conference leave me with no doubt they’re one of the best sixty-four teams in
America.
New
Mexico State won their Sun Belt Tournament and made up for a pretty bad season in one
weekend. They finished with an RPI of 90 and a sixth place in the Sun Belt at 10-14. It’s
not fair for one team to play good one weekend and earn a spot while at the same time
costing a team a spot who has played well all season.
Stetson and Coastal Carolina are four seeds? Both have very good RPI’s
(S-23 and CC-29), very good records against D-I opponents (S-42-17 and CC-43-17) as
well as good conference records (19-9 and 16-5). Both of these teams deserved at least a
three seed. They likely suffered because better teams from bigger conferences that would
have normally been sent a little farther from home had to stay and in the process, take
these teams’ seeds. In Stetson’s case, South Florida undeservedly got the three seed.
Virginia Commonwealth is another example of a team who played well at the
very end and won their conference tournament to get a berth. They have an RPI of 62 and
finished fifth in the Colonial Athletic Association (boy, that’s impressive!).
Elon
got an at-large bid? So what if they had never made the tournament before. They didn’t
earn it then, and they didn’t earn it now. A decent RPI of 45 likely got them in, but if you
don’t win the Big South, I don’t think you’ll have much of a chance in a regional (they
finished second with a 13-8 record).
How
does Arkansas get in the tournament? Obviously, they rode the RPI bubble right into this
year’s tourney (35). The Hogs were only one game above .500 against D-I opponents at
27-26 and had a losing record in conference play at 13-14. They were the eighth place
team in the SEC yet got the conference’s seventh and final spot over seventh-seeded
Mississippi State (record of 33-24 yet only 13-14 in conference).
The
Patriot League is not impressing me much. Their first place team, Navy, is 13-7 in the
conference. Yet they have only a 22-22 record against D-I competition and a stellar RPI
of 173. And that’s not the worst part. Because the committee put Richmond and George
Washington (both of the Atlantic 10) in the same regional, they are a three
seed!
So those are some of the faults I found with this year’s selections. There are probably
more, but there are probably some of the above that aren’t as big a deal as I made them
out to be. Anyway, here’s a few interesting notes about the field this year.....
Five
teams are in the college baseball tournament for the first time ever: Central Connecticut
State, Elon, Louisville, New Mexico State, and San Diego.
The
committee says the selections were based on “team record, strength of schedule, quality
wins, and RPI.” But I would put it in this order based on emphasis: RPI, strength of
schedule, quality wins, record.
The
committee complained that no northeast (or northern) school bid to host a regional. But
who there deserved to host one? Nobody did. Just look at the candidates: Navy, Maine,
Harvard, Central Connecticut State. If one of these teams had bid and been awarded a
regional.....
There
are two regionals with all teams from one state: Palo Alto (Stanford, Long Beach State,
San Jose State, CS-Fullerton) and Baton Rouge (LSU, LA-Lafayette, Tulane,
Southern).
The
Miami Hurricanes, who one the National Championship last season, were once again
invited to this year’s tournament. This is the 30th straight time they’ve received a bid,
extending their own record.
Miami
is the 3rd seed at the Gainesville regional, making the Canes and Gators one of several
groups of rivals placed at the same site. Texas and Baylor were both placed at the Austin
regional. Two traditional football powers and rivals, Notre Dame and Ohio State, were
placed at the South Bend regional and will meet in the first round. The Georgia Bulldogs
and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets were placed at GT’s home regional in Atlanta. Two of
the biggest rivals (in all sports) in the country, Alabama and Auburn, were both given
regional assignments in Tuscaloosa. LSU and Tulane, who met last year in the Super
Regionals in New Orlenas, will meet in the regionals this season in Baton Rouge. The
Green Wave won last year’s Super Regional and advanced to the College World
Series.
There
are six regionals in which two of the four teams are from the same conference. When this
happens, these two teams cannot meet in the first round but the second round at the
earliest. In Tallahassee, (2) Central Florida and (4) Stetson are both from the Atlantic Sun
Conference. (2) Long Beach State and (4) Cal State-Fullerton, both from the Big West,
are both playing in the Palo Alto Regional. Big XII rivals (2) Baylor and (1) Texas are
both playing in UT’s regional in Austin. Two of the SEC West’s most hated rivals, (1)
Alabama and (2) Auburn, will both be participating in the Tuscaloosa regional. (3) James
Madison and (4) Virginia Commonwealth, both of the Colonial Athletic Assoication, will
be playing at Sarge-Frye Field in Columbia, SC. Finally, Atlantic 10 rivals (2) Richmond
and (4) George Washington, will be participating in the Winston-Salem Regional, hosted
by Wake Forest.
The
committee was quoted as saying that Mississippi, Mississippi State, and Oklahoma State
were three of the last teams left out of the tournament. The Rebels had a good
record (37-19), good RPI (32), yet they were only 14-16 in the SEC (good for 9th in the
standings) and were left out of their own conference tournament. If you aren’t in the top
two-thirds in your conference, you obviously aren’t one of the best sixty-four teams in
America. MSU had a record of 33-24 yet was only 14-15 in the SEC (seventh place) and
had a bad RPI at 50. However, the Bulldogs were skipped over in the standings by
Arkansas, the eighth team in the standings. Oklahoma State had a good record at 37-21
but their RPI was a little weak at 46. The last spot may have come down to Arkansas and
OSU, both were about equal distance from the Wichita regional. The committee may
have felt the SEC deserved a seventh team and rewarded Arkansas even though they
proabably didn’t deserve it.
Other
teams who were likely left out towards the end: NC State (32-26, RPI of 38) -- Delaware
(34-22, RPI of 43, winners of their division in the CAA) -- Rutgers (35-22, RPI of
48)
I’ll continue to have more and more preview items for the NCAA Regionals
throughout the rest of the week, so continue to check back. Each of the regionals will be
previewed, and I’ll make a prediction on each of them. Also, a link to the live stats for
each game will be posted. The brackets for each regional have already been posted as
have the regional pairings. Keep checking back for more info, and send me an email to let
me know what you think!