Before the start of each and every college football season, many people from websites, newspapers, magazines, etc. come out with their preseason predictions of where each team will finish. Some are good guessers; others have no clue. And as you probably noticed, I took my shot at it this year. I was right on top of some conferences, and others, well.... Anyway, one website puts together a composite list of some of the major projections put out by some people. At the conclusion of each season, a composite chart is put out that compares everyoneís predictions to the actual outcome of each conference. If you would like to check out that page, click here, but below I have a copy of that chart. Also by clicking above, you can check out a copy of a similar chart from past years.
For each conference, a point number is given to that magazine/website. This number is based on how close that source was to predicting all teams in their final position in their conference. So if Team A was projected to finish 2nd but finished 4th, that source would get 2 points because it was 2 spots away for the actual finish. If a team actually finishes tied with someone at the end of the season, the actual finishing position is determined as to which spot would be most favorable to that source. So if Team B was predicted to finish 3rd but finished tied with 3 others teams for fourth place, they could be considered to finish 4th, 5th, or 6th place, which ever was most favorable to that magazine/website (in this case, fourth). Then the points for all the teams in each conference are added to get a total conference score. Finally, the conference scores are added together to get a total score for that source.
On the chart below, lower scores indicate more accurate predictions. So, the lower the score next to each projector, the more accurate their prediction was. All of the predictions are sorted according to accuracy, with most accurate at the top. My predictions were not included in the chart put out by the website above, but I have included mine in the chart I compiled. As you will see, I was just one point shy of the best overall preseason college football predictions.
|SOURCE||TOTAL POINTS||ACC||Big East||Big Ten||Big XII North||Big XII South||CUSA||MAC East||MAC West||Mountain West||PAC-10||SEC East||SEC West||Sun Belt||WAC|