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WHEN, OR WILL, THE CRAZINESS END?
October 9, 2007

SCS.com Coming off a tough road win where everything went wrong (turnovers, bad weather, injuries), the top team in the country had a nice home cupcake to heal up. Thirty-six straight home wins, 41 point favorites over the worst team in the conference, and then all of a sudden none of that matters. Stanford 24, USC 23. This tops Colorado beating Oklahoma and even Appalachian State over Michigan. Forget March Madness, this is a whole season of madness. For the second straight week, misery would have company.

Wisconsin was not favored against unranked Illinois, and in the words of Lee Corso, ”someone must know something I don’t know.” Illinois walks all over Wisconsin. Kentucky enjoyed their first ride in the Top 10 in decades for one week, falling at South Carolina. Florida couldn’t shake the loss bug against top ranked LSU despite holding the lead all game until 1:09 left in the game, so no repeat national title in Gainesville. Another week, another four teams in the Top 10 lose. This begs two questions.

1. Will The Craziness End?

No. College football parity has been getting greater and greater, and seasons like this just happen sometimes. Nobody is safe, even at home against terrible opposition. The difference between the 50th best team and the top team is not enough to allow the top team to slack off and still win. You have to like coaches with a lot of experience in this kind of season, the coaches that never let their players get too high or too low emotionally. Les Miles, Bob Stoops, Jim Tressel, they all fit this category. Each school has won a national title in the past decade as well. Still, nobody is safe.

2. Will Anybody End The Season Undefeated?

Yes. The current list stands at 11 teams (Arizona State, Boston College, California, Cincinnati, Hawaii, Kansas, LSU, Missouri, Ohio State, South Florida, and UCONN). Most of these teams are at the halfway point and all have tough conference games remaining. At least one of these teams will run the table and find a way to win. It may be someone as expected as LSU or someone unexpected like Cincinnati, but the game of BCS Survivor will not end anytime soon. Despite this, there will be quite a few one and two loss teams in serious BCS contention.

At one point on Saturday, it seemed as though a BCS Championship Rematch may be in order as USC goes down and LSU trailed by 10 late to Florida. Like everything else this season, any notion of knowing what was going on ended quickly. Even if LSU runs the table, the SEC teams will be hard to beat this bowl season from what we’ve seen so far. Even Notre Dame upset UCLA on the road, so there’s a reason to watch every game out there. Watch out Top 10 teams, the old boys club is not safe at all.

I hate to keep this so short, but as I said last week, this is my vacation week so you’ll not get much of an article. (I’m writing this while watching Hawaii play Sunday morning). So with no further ado, let’s jump right into the Top 3 games of the week.

The first game of the week is our weekly top game in the SEC, that being LSU at Kentucky. LSU might have escaped Florida at home, but the schedule through October remains tough with this one followed by Auburn at home and Alabama on the road. LSU has not played too many true road games so far, so it will be nice to see the top team in the country tested outside the friendly confines. Kentucky’s offense and Heisman candidate QB Andre’ Woodson looked bad in a rough outing at SC last weekend, and it will not get any easier against the best defense in the country. LSU could struggle and make this interesting, but you have to think a defense like this can step up and stop a pocket passer like Woodson. LSU wins by 17.

The second game of the week is Louisville at Cincinnati. The Bearcats are for real and proved it by blasting Oregon State and then knocking off Rutgers in Piscataway. So far the Big East has been hard to figure out, with Louisville and Rutgers losing thrice and twice in a row (respectively) and WVU dropping one at USF. Louisville still has all those weapons on offense though, and the scoreboard will light up like crazy as these rivals from 60 minutes from each other go crazy on questionable defenses. QB Ben Mauk will lead a wide-open Bearcat offense, with his primary targets being WR Marcus Bennett and WR Marshawn Gilyard. Take the over if you are a betting man, but in any event, Cincinnati will not lose focus at home. Bearcats win by 7.

The best game of the week is Missouri at Oklahoma. Missouri has looked pretty good knocking off teams like Nebraska and Illinois, but this will be a tougher test. Oklahoma recovered from the big CU upset with a win the Red River Rivalry, so OU will look to keep that positive momentum going. QB Sam Bradford leads a potent Sooner passing attack, but the rushing attack is even more formidable whether Allen Patrick or DeMarco Murray is in there. Missouri counters with an even better passing game, led by veteran QB Chase Daniel. The key to the game will be if Missouri can establish the run and keep Oklahoma’s crowd out of the game. I’d take the Tigers at home, but deep in the heart of Norman you have to like the Sooners. Another undefeated team loses, as Missouri goes down by 10.

GOTW Record to Date: 12-9 (.571)
Last Week: 3-3

Fitz Top 10 – Week 6
1. LSU (6-0)
2. Ohio State (6-0)
3. California (5-0)
4. Boston College (6-0)
5. Cincinnati (6-0)
6. South Florida (5-0)
7. Missouri (5-0)
8. Kansas (5-0)
9. Hawaii (6-0)
10. Arizona State (6-0)
Just Missed: Connecticut, Oregon, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Virginia Tech

Have a great week everyone! If you’re in Nassau on Wednesday, come see me at the Hard Rock Café. Yes I said Nassau!

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