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NEARLY TOURNEY TIME FOR ACC AND BIG TEN TEAMS
February 28, 2007

SCS.comWell the college basketball regular season is almost over, as are the ACC and Big Ten regular seasons. But there’s good news for hoops fans. Yes, I did save a bunch of money on my car insurance by switching to Geico, but there’s even better news. It’s nearly time for the ACC and Big Ten Tournaments. With less than one week left in conference play, anything can still happen. The tournament seeds are looking completely up-for-grabs right now, but I’ll try to help you out on what can or will happen.

Conference Tournament Schedule
Thursday, March 8 - Opening Round
11:00 AM - G1: #8 vs #9
1:00 PM - G2: #5 vs #12
6:00 PM - G3: #7 vs #10
8:00 PM - G4: #6 vs #11
Friday, March 9 – Quarterfinals
11:00 AM - G5: #1 vs Winner G1
1:00 PM - G6: #4 vs Winner G2
6:00 PM - G7: #2 vs Winner G3
8:00 PM - G8: #3 vs Winner G4
Saturday, March 10 – Semifinals
12:30 PM - G9: Winner G5 vs Winner G6
2:30 PM - G10: Winner G7 vs Winner G8
Sunday, March 11 – Championship
12:00 PM - G11: Winner G9 vs Winner G10

Standings As Of Right Now
1. North Carolina (10-4)
2. Virginia Tech (10-4)
3. Virginia (10-4)
4. Boston College (10-5)
5. Duke (8-6)
6. Maryland (8-6)
7. Georgia Tech (6-8)
8. Florida St. (6-9)
9. Clemson (5-9)
10. N.C. State (4-10)
11. Wake Forest (4-10)
12. Miami (4-10)

Teams With A First Round Bye

These four teams are all locks to receive first round byes in the ACC tournament. The seeds between these teams have yet to be determined.

North Carolina 10-4
Best Possible Seed: 1st
Worst Possible Seed: 4th
Remaining Schedule: @ Georgia Tech, Duke
Holds Tie-Breaker Over: Virginia, Boston College

Virginia Tech 10-4
Best Possible Seed:1st
Worst Possible Seed:4th
Remaining Schedule: @ Virginia, Clemson
Holds Tie-Breaker Over: North Carolina, Virginia, Boston College

Virginia 10-4
Best Possible Seed:1st
Worst Possible Seed:4th
Remaining Schedule: Virginia Tech, @ Wake Forest
Holds Tie-Breaker Over:None

Boston College 10-5
Best Possible Seed:2nd
Worst Possible Seed:4th
Remaining Schedule: @ Georgia Tech
Holds Tie-Breaker Over: Virginia

How It Should All Play Out

North Carolina should be able to win both of their remaining games to finish at 12-4. Virginia Tech should beat Clemson with @ Virginia being a tossup game. They should either finish 12-4 or 11-5. Virginia should win @ Wake Forest with their match against Virginia Tech being a toss-up. They should finish either 12-4 or 11-5. Boston College’s last game @ Georgia Tech should be very close, however I see them losing and falling to 10-6. If Virginia Tech wins against Virginia, then Virginia Tech would get the 1 seed with North Carolina the 2, Virginia the 3, and Boston College the 4. However if Virginia were to win against Tech, then North Carolina would get the 1 seed with Virginia getting the 2, Virginia Tech getting the 3, and Boston College getting the 4. Boston College would be able to salvage the 3 seed if they win against Georgia Tech and Virginia lost at least one game.

The Five And Six Seeds

Two teams, Duke and Maryland, can no longer clinch a first-round bye, but can get no lower than a 6 seed. Their meeting between the two teams should decide who gets the 5 seed and who gets the 6.

Duke 8-6
Best Possible Seed:5th
Worst Possible Seed:6th
Remaining Schedule: Maryland, @ North Carolina
Holds Tie-Breaker Over: None

Maryland 8-6
Best Possible Seed:5th
Worst Possible Seed:6th
Remaining Schedule: @ Duke, N.C.St
Holds Tie-Breaker Over: Duke

How It Should All Play Out

We’ll call the decisive game between the Blue Devils and Terps a toss-up game and see how the rest is settled. Duke should lose @ North Carolina, while Maryland should win against N.C. St. Therefore, Maryland would be a game up on Duke. IF Maryland were to win, then they would finish 2 games ahead of Duke and claim the 5 seed. But IF Duke were to pull through, then the two teams would be tied at 9-7. Here’s where it gets complicated. Since the series would be split between the two, then the next tie-breaker would be record versus the top seed. Both teams are 0-1 against Virginia and Virginia Tech, so the next top seed or top seed would be North Carolina. Maryland is 1-0 versus them, while Duke is 0-1. Maryland will get the 5 and Duke the 6 unless a major upset happens.

The Bottom Half

These six teams can no longer get higher than the 7 seed. This is the most complicated part of figuring out the teams’ seeds. Try and pay attention.

Georgia Tech 6-8
Best Possible Seed:7th
Worst Possible Seed:10th
Remaining Schedule: North Carolina, Boston College
Holds Tie-Breaker Over: Clemson (TBD) Florida State, N.C. St, Wake Forest,

Florida State 6-9
Best Possible Seed:7th
Worst Possible Seed:9th
Remaining Schedule: @ Miami
Holds Tie-Breaker Over: N.C. St, Wake Forest, Miami

Clemson 5-9
Best Possible Seed:7th
Worst Possible Seed:12th
Remaining Schedule: Miami, @ Virginia Tech
Holds Tie-Breaker Over: Georgia Tech (TBD) Florida State, N.C. St, Miami(TBD)

North Carolina State 4-10
Best Possible Seed:9th
Worst Possible Seed:12th
Remaining Schedule: Wake Forest, @ Maryland
Holds Tie-Breaker Over: Wake Forest

Wake Forest 4-10
Best Possible Seed:9th
Worst Possible Seed:12th
Remaining Schedule: @ N.C. St, Virginia
Holds Tie-Breaker Over: Clemson, Miami

Miami 4-10
Best Possible Seed:8th
Worst Possible Seed:12th
Remaining Schedule: @ Clemson, Florida State
Holds Tie-Breaker Over: Georgia Tech, Clemson (TBD) N.C. St

How It Should All Play Out

Whoo! Not even a psychic could tell you the order of finish for the bottom half of the ACC. But I’ll take a stab at it. Georgia Tech should lose to UNC, and a toss-up game versus Boston College. We’ll put them at 6-9 for now. Florida State should win @ Miami to end them with a 7-9 record. Clemson will probably beat Miami before losing to Virginia Tech to put them at 6-10. N.C. St should split their final two, beating Wake Forest at home and losing on the road to Maryland, and finish at 5-11. Wake Forest should also split their final two, losing to Clemson and beating Miami to put them at 5-11 also. Miami should lose their last two games to put them at 4-12 and the 12 seed. Here are the updated standings: FSU 7-9, GT 7-9 or 6-10, Clem 6-10, NCST 5-11, WF 5-11, Mia 4-12. If Georgia Tech wins against either North Carolina or Boston College to put them tied for 7th with Florida State at 7-9, then Georgia Tech would get the 7 and Florida State the 8. If Georgia Tech were to lose both their games, then Florida State would get the 7 seed, Clemson the 8, and Georgia Tech the 9 seed since Clemson’s record against Virginia and Virginia Tech are the same as Georgia Tech’s, but their record versus North Carolina is better than Georgia Tech’s. Again the next tie-breaker after head-to-head is the record versus the top overall team in the ACC. As for the bottom three, N.C. St would get the 10 seed, Wake Forest the 11 seed, and Miami the 12 seed. There that wasn’t so hard now was it?

Possible Final Standings With My Predicted Order In Bold
1. North Carolina/ Virginia Tech
2. North Carolina / Virginia
3. Boston College / Virginia/ Virginia Tech
4. Boston College/ Virginia
5. Maryland
6. Duke
7. Florida State /Georgia Tech
8. Florida State/ Clemson
9. Clemson/ Georgia Tech
10. N.C. St
11. Wake Forest
12. Miami

My ACC Tournament
Thursday, March 8 - Opening Round
11:00 AM - G1: Clemson vs Georgia Tech
1:00 PM - G2: Maryland vs Miami
6:00 PM - G3: Florida St vs N.C. St
8:00 PM - G4: Duke vs Wake Forest
Friday, March 9 – Quarterfinals
11:00 AM - G5: Virginia Tech vs Clemson/Georgia Tech
1:00 PM - G6: Virginia vs Duke/Wake Forest
6:00 PM - G7: North Carolina vs Florida St/N.C. St
8:00 PM - G8: Boston College vs Maryland/Miami
Saturday, March 10 – Semifinals
12:30 PM - G9: Winner G5 vs Winner G6
2:30 PM - G10: Winner G7 vs Winner G8
Sunday, March 11 – Championship
12:00 PM - G11: Winner G9 vs Winner G10

The ACC Tournament will take place in Tampa, Florida from March 8-11.

Thursday, March 8 - First Round
11:00 AM - G1: #8 vs #9
1:30 PM - G2: #7 vs #10
4:05 PM - G3: #6 vs #11
Friday, March 9 – Quarterfinals
11:00 AM - G4: #1 vs Winner G1
1:30 PM - G5: #4 vs #5
5:40 PM - G6: #2 vs Winner G2
8:10 PM - G7: #3 vs Winner G3
Saturday, March 10 – Semifinals
12:40 PM - G8: Winner G4 vs Winner G5
3:05 PM - G9: Winner G6 vs Winner G7
Sunday, March 11 – Championship
2:30 PM - G10: Winner G8 vs Winner G9

Standings As Of Right Now
1. Ohio State (14-1)
2. Wisconsin (12-3)
3. Illinois (9-6)
4. Indiana (8-6)
5. Iowa (8-6)
6. Michigan State (8-7)
7. Michigan (8-7)
8. Purdue (7-7)
9. Minnesota (3-12)
10. Northwestern (2-12)
11. Penn State (1-13)

The Top Seed

Ohio State only has a single game left in their regular season, and with a two game lead on the second place team, the Buckeyes have clinched the Big Ten regular season championship and the overall 1 seed in the Big Ten Tournament.

Ohio State 14-1
Best Possible Seed: 1st
Worst Possible Seed: 1st
Remaining Schedule: @ Michigan
Holds Tie-Breaker Over All Teams
How It Should All Play Out

Ohio State should be able to win their final regular season game against the Wolverines to improve their Big Ten record to 15-1.

The Two Seed

Wisconsin only has one game left in their regular season calendar, and while they sit at a respectable 12-3, they can no longer claim 1st place. However, the Badgers can get no lower than runner-up. They will have the 2 seed in the Big Ten Tournament

Wisconsin 12-3
Best Possible Seed: 2nd
Worst Possible Seed: 2nd
Remaining Schedule: Michigan State
Holds Tie-Breaker Over All but Ohio State
How It Should All Play Out

Wisconsin has only a single game left against Michigan State. Though the streaky Spartans have been on a roll, the Badgers are undefeated at home this year, and should be able to win against Michigan State to make their final record 13-3.

The Middle Six

These six teams are all within one and a half games of each other and all have records ranging from 9-6 to 7-7. None of these six can earn a seed higher than 3, but can get no seed lower than 8. Three of the teams will receive first round byes, while the other three will find themselves playing on the first day.

Illinois 9-6
Best Possible Seed: 3rd
Worst Possible Seed: 8th
Remaining Schedule: @ Iowa
Holds Tie-Breaker Over Michigan State, Iowa

Indiana 8-6
Best Possible Seed: 3rd
Worst Possible Seed: 8th
Remaining Schedule: @ Northwestern, Penn State
Holds Tie-Breaker Over Illinois, Michigan State, Iowa, Purdue

Iowa 8-6
Best Possible Seed: 3rd
Worst Possible Seed: 8th
Remaining Schedule: @ Penn State, Illinois
Holds Tie-Breaker Over Michigan State, Michigan, Purdue

Michigan State 8-7
Best Possible Seed: 4th
Worst Possible Seed: 8th
Remaining Schedule: @ Wisconsin
Holds Tie-Breaker Over Michigan

Michigan 8-7
Best Possible Seed: 4th
Worst Possible Seed: 8th
Remaining Schedule: Ohio State
Holds Tie-Breaker Over Illinois, Indiana, Purdue

Purdue 7-7
Best Possible Seed: 4th
Worst Possible Seed: 8th
Remaining Schedule: Minnesota, Northwestern
Holds Tie-Breaker Over Illinois, Michigan State
How It Should All Play Out

Illinois’ final game against Iowa should be very close, so it’s a toss-up game for now. Their record is 9-6. Indiana should be able to win their final two games to finish with a record of 10-6. Iowa should be able to beat Penn State, but their game against Illinois is a toss-up. We’ll put the Hawkeyes at 9-6 for right now. Michigan State more than likely will lose their final game on the road at Wisconsin to finish at 8-8. Michigan should also lose their final game against Ohio State to put them at 8-8 as well. Purdue will probably win their final two games against Minnesota and Northwestern, so they’ll finish at 9-7. We now have Indiana at 10-6, Illinois and Iowa at 9-6, Purdue at 9-7, and Michigan State and Michigan at 8-8. Since Indiana holds the tie-breaker over both Illinois and Iowa, the Hoosiers would receive the 3 seed. IF Iowa were to win the game against Illinois, then Iowa would receive the 4 seed, and Purdue would get the 5 since they hold the tie-breaker over Illinois. IF Illinois were to win the game, then Illinois would get the 4, and Iowa would get the 5 seed with Purdue getting the 6, since Iowa holds the tie-breaker over Purdue. Michigan State would get the 7 seed while Michigan would receive the 8, since the Spartans hold the current tie-break over Michigan.

The Bottom Three

These three teams are the worst teams by far in the Big Ten. Minnesota can get either the 9 or 10 seed. Penn State will get either the 10 or 11 seed, while Northwestern could fall anywhere in there.

Minnesota 3-12
Best Possible Seed: 9th
Worst Possible Seed: 10th
Remaining Schedule: @ Purdue
Holds Tie-Breaker Over Northwestern, Penn State

Northwestern 2-12
Best Possible Seed: 9th
Worst Possible Seed: 11th
Remaining Schedule: Indiana, @ Purdue
Holds Tie-Breaker Over None

Penn State 1-13
Best Possible Seed: 10th
Worst Possible Seed: 11th
Remaining Schedule: Iowa, @ Indiana
Holds Tie-Breaker Over Northwestern
How It Should All Play Out

Minnesota will most likely lose their final game at Purdue to end their season with a record of 3-13. Northwestern will probably lose both of their final games against Indiana and Purdue to put their record at 2-14. Penn State will most likely lose its final two games against Iowa and at Indiana to finish at 1-15. If these all happen, then Minnesota would have a 3-13 record and receive the 9 seed. Northwestern would get the 10 seed with a 2-14 record, while Penn State would get last place overall with a 1-15 record and would also get the 11 seed.

Possible Final Standings With My Predicted Order In Bold

1. Ohio State
2. Wisconsin
3. Indiana
4. Iowa/ Illinois
5. Purdue/ Iowa
6. Illinois/ Purdue
7. Michigan State
8. Michigan
9. Minnesota
10. Northwestern
11. Penn State

My Big Ten Tournament
Thursday, March 8 - First Round
11:00 AM - G1: Michigan vs Minnesota
1:30 PM - G2: Michigan State vs Northwestern
4:05 PM - G3: Illinois vs Penn State
Friday, March 9 – Quarterfinals
11:00 AM - G4: Ohio State vs Michigan/Minnesota
1:30 PM - G5: Iowa vs Purdue
5:40 PM - G6: Wisconsin vs Michigan State/Northwestern
8:10 PM - G7: Indiana vs Illinois/Penn State
Saturday, March 10 – Semifinals
12:40 PM - G8: Winner G4 vs Winner G5
3:05 PM - G9: Winner G6 vs Winner G7
Sunday, March 11 – Championship
2:30 PM - G10: Winner G8 vs Winner G9

The Big Ten Tournament will take place in Chicago, Illinois from March 8-11.

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