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SURVEY SAYS: WHO'S IN AND WHO'S OUT
March 8, 2006

SCS.com It's that time of year when everyone everywhere is projecting which bubble teams will get the call on Selection Sunday, which is now just four days away. We at SCS.com are no exception. Each staff member, whether they cover baseball, basketball, or football, was asked to gauge the dancing chances of 22 teams that most experts believe are currently sitting atop the NCAA bubble. They were allowed to select just 11 of those teams to go dancing, leaving the other 11 sitting on the outside looking in.

B
E
N
C
O
R
T
N
E
Y
D
A
V
I
D
J
E
F
F
J
O
N
A
T
H
A
N
R
E
E
D
Air Force OUT OUT OUT OUT OUT OUT
Bradley IN IN OUT IN IN OUT
BYU OUT OUT OUT OUT OUT OUT
California IN OUT IN IN OUT OUT
Cincinnati IN IN IN IN IN OUT
Colorado OUT OUT OUT OUT OUT IN
Creighton OUT OUT IN OUT IN OUT
Florida State IN IN IN IN OUT IN
George Mason OUT OUT IN OUT IN IN
Hofstra OUT IN IN OUT OUT OUT
Houston IN OUT OUT OUT OUT IN
Indiana IN IN IN IN IN OUT
Maryland IN OUT OUT OUT OUT IN
Michigan OUT IN IN IN IN IN
Missouri State OUT IN IN IN IN OUT
Northern Iowa IN IN IN IN IN OUT
Seton Hall OUT IN IN IN IN IN
Syracuse IN OUT OUT OUT OUT IN
Texas A&M IN IN OUT IN IN IN
UAB IN IN OUT IN IN IN
Utah State OUT OUT OUT OUT OUT IN
Vanderbilt OUT OUT OUT OUT OUT OUT

So according to the staff, here is what we know...or at least what we think we know. Each of the following teams got at least five "IN" or "OUT" votes:

DEFINITELY IN (8): Cincinnati, Florida State, Indiana, Michigan, Northern Iowa, Seton Hall, Texas A&M, UAB
DEFINITELY OUT (5): Air Force, BYU, Colorado, Utah State, Vanderbilt

Then we can pretty much go ahead and give the nod to the following teams who got four "IN" or "OUT" votes as well:

LIKELY IN (2): Bradley, Missouri State
LIKELY OUT (5): Creighton, Hofstra, Houston, Maryland, Syracuse

So at this point we've decided the fate of 20 of the 22 teams, putting 10 of them in the Tournament and slamming the door on the hopes of 10 others. And since we said there were just 11 Big Dance slots available, the SCS.com staff believes (at least at this point) that the final spot will come down to these final two teams:

ON THE BUBBLE (2): California, George Mason

So that's what we think. The jury is still out and the truth won't be known for another few days, but that's where we feel all of those on the bubble currently stand. Stay tuned for our final bracket projection, coming on Friday, for one last glance before the weekend.

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