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BREAKING DOWN THE NCAA BASEBALL FIELD
May 14, 2008

SCS.comThe NCAA regionals are only a few weeks away, and many teams are scrambling for position, may it be trying to lock into a national seed, looking to grab a home regional, bettering their current seeding, securing their place in the field, or simply trying to play themselves into contention for a spot in the field of 64.

I'll be releasing my regional projections later this week, but for now, here's how I think the field shakes out at this point, with a look at what seed each team is currently looking at.

One-Bid Leagues

Some of the teams below aren't leading their conferences, but I think that they'll come out on top in the conference. I also included independent Dallas Baptist in this section, as I have them penciled in as an at-large. Columbia has already clinched a berth in the tournament.

America East: Stony Brook (#4)

Atlantic Sun: Lipscomb (#4)

Horizon: Wright St. (#4)

Independents: Dallas Baptist (#3)

Ivy: Columbia (#4)

MAAC: Canisius (#4)

MAC: Kent State (#4)

MEAC: Bethune-Cookman (#4)

Northeast: Monmouth (#4)

Ohio Valley: Jacksonville State (#4)

Patriot: Navy (#4)

SWAC: Jackson State (#4)

WAC: Fresno State (#4)

Possible At-Large Teams From One-Bid Leagues

These teams are likely going to get in regardless of what happens in their conference tournaments. For the sake of some of the bubble teams, most (or all) of these teams need to win their conference tourneys, but if they don't, they won't be among the anxious teams.

Atlantic 10: Charlotte (#3)

Big South: Coastal Carolina (#1)>

Big Ten: Michigan (#2)

Colonial: UNC-Wilmington (#2)

Mountain West: TCU (#3)

Sun Belt: New Orleans (#2)

Summit: Oral Roberts (#3)

On the Fringe

These guys are on top in their conference, but if they don't take their tournament, they could be sweating when the selections come out.

Southland: Texas-San Antonio (#4)

Two-Bid Leagues

There's a chance that these leagues could all end up being one-bid leagues, but they could also end up being three-bid leagues, if there are some conference tourney upsets.

Big East: St. John's (#2), Louisville (#4)

Missouri Valley: Wichita St. (#2), Missouri St. (#4)

Southern: Elon (#3), College of Charleston (#3)

Three-Bid Leagues

Santa Clara hosts Pepperdine this weekend with a place in the WCC championship series vs. San Diego on the line. Whoever gets left out of the title series should still get in, though it's better for Santa Clara's chances that they get in, as their RPI is much lower than Pepperdine's.

West Coast: San Diego (#1), Pepperdine (#3), Santa Clara (#4)

More Than Three Bids

ACC: Miami (#1), Florida State (#1), North Carolina (#1), North Carolina St. (#1), Georgia Tech (#2), Virginia (#3)

Big 12: Texas A&M (#1), Nebraska (#1), Oklahoma State (#1), Missouri (#2), Texas (#3)

Big West: Cal State Fullerton (#1), Long Beach State (#2), UC Irvine (#2), UC Davis (#3)

Pac-10: Arizona State (#1), Cal (#1), Stanford (#2), Arizona (#2), Oregon State (#3)

SEC: Georgia (#1), LSU (#1), Vanderbilt (#2), Kentucky (#2), South Carolina (#2), Ole Miss (#3), Florida (#3), Arkansas (#3), Alabama (#3)

Conference USA: Rice (#1), Southern Mississippi (#1), Tulane (#2), East Carolina (#2), Houston (#3)

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